Prediction market
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Rules: This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-33 pts
Polymarket 32% vs Pollitics 65%
No-side gap
+33 pts
Polymarket 68% vs Pollitics 35%
Relative volatility
11.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level