Prediction market
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-36 pts
Polymarket 49% vs Pollitics 85%
No-side gap
+36 pts
Polymarket 51% vs Pollitics 15%
Relative volatility
12.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level