Prediction market
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Rules: The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-1 pts
Polymarket 4% vs Pollitics 5%
No-side gap
+1 pts
Polymarket 96% vs Pollitics 95%
Relative volatility
0.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level