Prediction market
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Rules: The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the Netherlands following the 2025 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Netherlands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-10 pts
Polymarket 0% vs Pollitics 10%
No-side gap
+10 pts
Polymarket 100% vs Pollitics 90%
Relative volatility
3.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 75
@suburban-75
Vote: No opinion • Confidence: 10%
Voter 79
@suburban-79
Vote: No • Confidence: 75%