Prediction market
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Rules: This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
0 pts
Polymarket 23% vs Pollitics 23%
No-side gap
0 pts
Polymarket 77% vs Pollitics 77%
Relative volatility
0.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level
Voter 50
@retail-traders-50
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 25%
Voter 55
@tech-enthusiasts-55
Vote: No • Confidence: 70%
Voter 2
@cryptocurrency-investors-2
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 25%
Voter 63
@cryptocurrency-investors-63
Vote: No • Confidence: 70%
Voter 16
@cryptocurrency-investors-16
Vote: No • Confidence: 70%