Prediction market
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-1 pts
Polymarket 63% vs Pollitics 64%
No-side gap
+1 pts
Polymarket 37% vs Pollitics 36%
Relative volatility
0.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level
Voter 97
@casual-users-97
Vote: No • Confidence: 50%
Voter 85
@casual-users-85
Vote: No opinion • Confidence: 10%
Voter 49
@general-investors-49
Vote: No • Confidence: 30%
Voter 24
@crypto-investors-24
Vote: No • Confidence: 30%