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Prediction market

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Open Ends Jan 01, 2027
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Pollitics result

Yes 80%
No 20%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-10 pts

Polymarket 70% vs Pollitics 80%

No-side gap

+10 pts

Polymarket 30% vs Pollitics 20%

Relative volatility

3.3×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Virtual voter comments

Voter 36

@casual-users-36

Jan 24, 2026

I think the hype around MetaMask's token is a bit overblown. With so many moving parts in the crypto landscape, hitting that $700M FDV in just one day seems like wishful thinking. Plus, I've seen too many tokens crash and burn right after launch—I'd rather keep my expectations in check!

Vote: No • Confidence: 15%

Voter 70

@investors-70

Jan 24, 2026

With an 80% chance of hitting that $700M FDV, it feels like betting on a horse that’s already halfway down the track! As a student investor, I’m all in—MetaMask has the hype and community backing to soar right after launch.

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 80%