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Prediction market

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Open Ends Jan 01, 2027
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 55%
No 46%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

+15 pts

Polymarket 55% vs Pollitics 40%

No-side gap

-14 pts

Polymarket 46% vs Pollitics 60%

Relative volatility

4.8×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Virtual voter comments

Voter 30

@retail-investors-30

Jan 24, 2026

I threw my hat in the 'Yes' ring because, let's face it, if MetaMask drops a token, its hype could easily push the FDV past a billion. Plus, as a retail investor, I'm all about that potential moonshot, even if the skeptics are lurking. Fingers crossed we get a launch before the calendar flips to 2027!

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 20%

Voter 72

@tech-professionals-72

Jan 24, 2026

I opted for 'No' because while the buzz around MetaMask is real, talk is cheap until a token actually drops. With no launch in sight, I’m not holding my breath for that billion-dollar FDV—let’s see some action first!

Vote: No • Confidence: 60%