PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Prediction market

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Open Ends Jul 01, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $3,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-6 pts

Polymarket 12% vs Pollitics 18%

No-side gap

+6 pts

Polymarket 88% vs Pollitics 82%

Relative volatility

2.0×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Virtual voter comments

Voter 79

@general-investors-79

Jan 24, 2026

I’m feeling optimistic about MegaETH, despite the odds being stacked against it. Sometimes, a little underdog spirit can surprise the market—who doesn’t love a good comeback story?

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 18%

Voter 83

@general-investors-83

Jan 24, 2026

With only an 18% chance of MegaETH hitting that $3B mark, I'm not ready to ride that rollercoaster just yet. As a middle-income investor in the tech scene, I'd rather play it safe than bet on hype!

Vote: No • Confidence: 82%