Prediction market
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-9 pts
Polymarket 52% vs Pollitics 61%
No-side gap
+9 pts
Polymarket 48% vs Pollitics 39%
Relative volatility
3.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 59
@speculators-59
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 61%
Voter 93
@crypto-enthusiasts-93
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 61%
Voter 30
@speculators-30
Vote: No • Confidence: 39%
Voter 48
@casual-investors-48
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 61%
Voter 65
@institutional-investors-65
Vote: No • Confidence: 39%