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Prediction market

Arthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?

Open Ends Apr 01, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/ct-leaderboard A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published. Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution. If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-22 pts

Polymarket 18% vs Pollitics 40%

No-side gap

+22 pts

Polymarket 82% vs Pollitics 60%

Relative volatility

7.3×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level